About

Soft chaos, sharp patterns.

Soft chaos, sharp patterns.

girl, black and white phote

I'm Ilayda, an industrial engineer who got more interested in the systems people make than the ones machines do.

I work in computational social science: using the tools of data (language models, time series, networks) to ask social questions. How do societies decide under uncertainty? How does a trend go from nowhere to everywhere? How does the way we talk about something as migration, money, each other shift before the thing itself does? I like questions that sit between disciplines, where an engineer's instinct for structure meets a social scientist's tolerance for mess.

Most of my work lives in Turkish political and consumer discourse like in parliamentary records, social media, the sound of a public arguing with itself. I came to it from a few years in analytics, where I learned that the interesting signal is almost never the obvious one.

I write at Simularch, a slow newsletter about complex systems and pattern recognition; soft chaos, sharp patterns. It's where I think out loud about the things that don't fit into a paper.

Right now I'm at Koç University, studying how people form expectations about inflation; a small, strange, very human kind of forecasting. After that I'm spending a year moving slowly across East and Southeast Asia, which feels like the right way to understand how places actually work: on foot, without a model.

I read widely and a little obsessively; theory, philosophy, systems thinking. If you want to start an argument, ask me about Bauman.

Ilayda Kucukafacan

Ilayda Kucukafacan

Computational social science

Istanbul, Turkey